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Predicting Stock Returns
As I have been meeting with clients this month, everyone wants to know what stocks will do in 2025.
Jan 17
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Jonathan Swanburg
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Predicting Stock Returns
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Sports Betting & Investing
Humans love to gamble.
Jan 10
•
Jonathan Swanburg
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Sports Betting & Investing
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Irrational Exuberance & Market Timing
“The markets can stay irrational longer than you can remain solvent” – John Maynard Keynes
Jan 3
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Jonathan Swanburg
1
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Irrational Exuberance & Market Timing
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December 2024
Happy New Year
For my last note of the year, I figured I’d switch things up by recording a quick video to express my heartfelt gratitude to everyone who has taken the…
Dec 27, 2024
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Jonathan Swanburg
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Happy New Year
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2:15
2025 Price Targets
As we quickly approach the New Year, it feels like a good time to remember that every firm on Wall Street has issued a report outlining where they think…
Dec 20, 2024
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Jonathan Swanburg
1
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2025 Price Targets
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15 Things I’ve Learned in the Last 15 Years
When I started in this business 15 years ago, one of the firm’s owners, Jon Vaughan, warned me that I wouldn’t really know anything about managing money…
Dec 13, 2024
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Jonathan Swanburg
7
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15 Things I’ve Learned in the Last 15 Years
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Preparing For the Drawdowns
When you ask an investor what he would do if the market fell by 20%, his answer will depend almost entirely on whether the stock market has been going…
Dec 6, 2024
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Jonathan Swanburg
2
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Preparing For the Drawdowns
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November 2024
Giving Thanks & Decreasing Costs
A Thanksgiving meal for ten people in 2024 will cost almost 20% more than it did just five years ago.
Nov 28, 2024
•
Jonathan Swanburg
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Giving Thanks & Decreasing Costs
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When Price Detaches from Reality
“I can calculate the motions of the heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people.”
Nov 22, 2024
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Jonathan Swanburg
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When Price Detaches from Reality
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This Is Not Investing
“Average returns for an above-average period of time will result in extreme outperformance. It is the most obvious secret in investing.”
Nov 15, 2024
•
Jonathan Swanburg
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This Is Not Investing
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Trading the Election Outcome
After this week’s election, investors want to know how they should be changing their portfolios to better position themselves for the next 4 years.
Nov 8, 2024
•
Jonathan Swanburg
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Trading the Election Outcome
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The Election & Your Investments
Since this is my last note before November 5th, I figured I should send a reminder that election outcomes are not all that important for the stock…
Nov 1, 2024
•
Jonathan Swanburg
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The Election & Your Investments
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